Madrid is in for shifting skies and scattered rain, with temperatures expected to peak at 25°C. Clouds moved over the city before sunrise, bringing a threat of light rain. They should thin by midday, but showers could return, possibly with a thunderstorm. The Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) put the chance of rain at 57%, while cloud cover could reach 88% during the day, information from Infobae Spain.
By 18:00, skies should clear somewhat as temperatures reach a high of 25°C. Overnight lows will stay near 18°C. A light southerly breeze is expected, but it will bring little relief. Some independent forecasts, including tuTiempo.net, put the high at 26.1°C or even 27°C, as weather models continue to shift. El Confidencial reported that the previous day, September 29, also brought cloudiness and light rain to Madrid, with no impressive weather warnings issued.
Thursday will bring another change: high clouds in the morning and a chance of rain by midday. Temperatures will climb to 28°C, while nighttime lows drop to 15°C. The warm spell will be brief. TuTiempo.net links the spike to an Atlantic trough and frontal systems stirring up central Spain. Forecasts for 1 to 2 October point to renewed rain and temperature fluctuations, with a brief warming followed by a drop. The pattern is expected to last several days and affect more than one locality.
Dense clouds and rain are expected early on Friday, leaving the city under gray skies. Highs will reach 24°C and lows will remain at 15°C. Winds will turn southeast but stay light, while the air remains damp. AEMET and independent forecasts point to continued fluctuations into October, with more rain and temperature swings likely.
The weekend is expected to be gloomier still. Thick clouds and rain are forecast for Saturday, followed by overcast skies and more rain on Sunday. Temperatures will fall: Saturday’s high will be 22°C, with a low of 15°C; Sunday’s high will be 21°C, with a low of 14°C. Winds will remain calm.
Nearby towns will also see unsettled weather. In Las Rozas de Madrid, the morning is expected to bring heavy clouds and light rain, with some breaks in the clouds by midday. Showers are most likely around 11:00 and 13:00, and temperatures will range from 15°C to 26°C. Brunete faces similar conditions: thick clouds and light rain in the morning, followed by patchy cloud after noon. Weak showers could arrive at the same times, with temperatures ranging from 16°C to 27°C.
Other regional centers, including Segovia, Ávila, Talavera de la Reina, Ciudad Real, Salamanca, Soria, Málaga, El Ejido, Cartagena, San Sebastián, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Castellón de la Plana, Manacor and Calahorra, are also bracing for unsettled skies and scattered rain. Conditions will vary by location. AEMET and Clarín link the widespread instability to larger weather patterns affecting the Iberian Peninsula.
These forecasts, based on AEMET data, are provisional and may change. Similar warnings have been issued elsewhere in Spain, including the ES-Alert for heavy rain in Tarragona reported earlier.
Late September can bring rapid weather changes in Madrid. Residents and visitors are advised to keep an umbrella handy and check for updates as temperatures shift and rain and cloud cover move in over the coming days.