A political drama is brewing in Aragón: according to the latest pre-election poll from the Center for Sociological Research (CIS), the Partido Popular (PP) led by Jorge Azcón has regained the lead. However, a confident victory does not guarantee them the ability to govern the region alone. Vox, gaining momentum, is becoming a key player without whom it is impossible to form a majority in parliament.
The PP can count on 35.3% of the vote, which translates to 25–29 seats in the regional parliament—almost replicating their result from two years ago. The Socialists (PSOE), with Pilar Alegría at the forefront, are projected to finish second with 26.7% and 17–23 mandates. Their position looks precarious: they could retain their previous 23 seats or lose as many as six deputies.
Vox, led by Alejandro Nolasco, has firmly established itself in third place. The party could win between three and six seats, making it an indispensable partner for any potential government. Other political forces—IU-Movimiento Sumar, Aragón Existe, Podemos-Alianza Verde—can each expect only 1–3 seats. An absolute majority in parliament requires 34 deputies, and no party is close to reaching this threshold on its own.
Political deadlock
Elections in Aragón are scheduled for February 8—the first time in the region’s history that they will be held early. The reason is the breakdown in negotiations between the PP and Vox over the regional budget. After the far-right party refused to support the proposal, Azcón was forced to dissolve parliament and call new elections.
The situation is complicated by the fact that last time, in 2023, PP and Vox had already formed a coalition agreement, allowing them to govern the region. However, this alliance didn’t last: in 2025, Vox withdrew from the government, leaving Azcón without a majority. Now, after a second refusal to collaborate, the region’s political landscape has become even more unpredictable.
Familiar names appear on the list of candidates for regional president: Jorge Azcón (PP), Pilar Alegría (PSOE), Alejandro Nolasco (Vox), Jorge Pueyo (Chunta Aragonesista), Raúl Burillo (Aragón Existe), María Goicoechea (Podemos-Alianza Verde), Marta Abengochea (IU-Movimiento Sumar), and Francisco Nasarre (Partido Aragonés). Each hopes to shift the balance of power, but the reality remains: complex negotiations and compromises will be unavoidable.
Regional challenges
The CIS poll went beyond electoral forecasts, also asking residents to identify the region’s most pressing problems. Housing topped the list: 22.1% of respondents named it their main concern. Next came healthcare issues (13.8%), depopulation (9.1%), and immigration (6.1%).
Despite this, most Aragon residents (57.4%) consider the regional situation favorable. Only 5.5% rate it as ‘very good,’ while 22.3% call it ‘bad.’ Another 4.4% are completely pessimistic. Notably, 36.9% said they have noticed no change since the last elections, 30.3% feel things have improved, and 31.1% think they have worsened.
Azcón’s government receives mixed reviews. 39.5% of respondents rate its performance as good or very good, 22.5% as poor or very poor, and 36.7% call it ‘average’. This reflects an overall mood: the region hovers between stability and disappointment.
Voter Sentiment
Interest in the upcoming election is low: 39% of residents admit they are not really interested. 35% show ‘moderate’ interest, 13.2% are highly interested, while 10.8% are completely indifferent to the electoral process. Such apathy could play a trick on the frontrunners.
Interestingly, six out of ten respondents believe that the election campaign should focus on regional topics, not national issues. This sends a message to politicians: voters want concrete solutions, not abstract promises.
Overall, the political scene in Aragón resembles a chess match where every move can shift the balance of power. The PP firmly holds the lead, but without support from Vox, their victory could be a Pyrrhic one. Ahead are weeks of tough negotiations, unexpected alliances, and possibly new disappointments for voters.
