This January in Spain promises not only festive celebrations, but also true winter weather. In the capital and several other regions, authorities are preparing for the arrival of a cold front that could blanket the streets with snow just as people await Reyes Magos. Anticipation mixes with anxiety: could Madrid once again be trapped by snow, as has happened before?
Forecasters leave little room for doubt: the likelihood of snowfall in central Madrid and surrounding areas exceeds 80%. The numbers are just as striking in Colmenar Viejo, Alcalá de Henares, and El Casar. Authorities have already declared a yellow weather alert, with some areas moving to orange. Residents are stocking up on warm clothing and watching the skies warily, as snow could start as early as Sunday night into Monday.
Weather warnings
On Sunday afternoon, a yellow snow warning will take effect in Madrid and nearby areas. Conditions are expected to be especially challenging in the mountains, where snow cover could reach 5 centimeters. In the metropolitan area and the Henares River valley, up to 2 centimeters of snowfall are forecasted. Nighttime temperatures will drop to minus 7 degrees—an unusual cold snap for the Spanish capital.
Emergency services are already on high alert. Drivers are urged to exercise caution, and residents are asked to stay home unless absolutely necessary. Still, for many children and adults, the chance to see snow on Three Kings’ Day feels like a real stroke of luck.
Snowy surprises
The weather has been complicated by a cold air mass arriving from northern Europe. This is due to cyclonic activity over Scandinavia and a persistent anticyclone over the Atlantic. Such a ‘corridor’ for Arctic air rarely forms in early January, but this time it will bring snow not only to Madrid but also to other regions across the country.
The highest risk of heavy snowfall is forecast for eastern parts of the Iberian Peninsula. On Monday, January 5, orange weather alerts have been issued in Aragón, Cantabria, Cataluña, and Comunidad Valenciana. In some areas, snow depths may exceed 5 centimeters, particularly in mountainous and elevated zones.
Models diverge
Meteorologists are closely monitoring forecasts from the two leading models—the European model (ECMWF) and the American model (GFS). The first predicts moderate snowfall, not exceeding 5 centimeters in most areas. The latter, however, paints a more dramatic picture, forecasting snowdrifts of up to 30 centimeters in parts of Andalucía, Murcia, and eastern Castilla-La Mancha.
Historically, the European model tends to be more accurate, but Spaniards recall how in 2021 Madrid was paralyzed by an unexpectedly heavy snowfall. That’s why people treat forecasts with caution and are prepared for possible difficulties.
A Holiday in the Snow
This year, the Kings may arrive in Madrid as snowflakes fall. For children, it will be a true miracle, but for city services, a real challenge. Authorities in the capital are already preparing snow removal equipment and asking residents to be extra careful on the roads.
Snow in Madrid is rare but always unforgettable. This time it could not only add to the festive mood but also cause some temporary inconveniences. Nevertheless, despite the challenges, the anticipation of a winter wonderland gives the city a special atmosphere. Spaniards are ready to welcome the Kings—even if it means bundling up in warm scarves and gloves.
