In 2025, the political landscape in Spain is undergoing significant changes, especially in Catalonia and Murcia. In these regions, forces advocating for tougher migration policies are coming to the forefront. The spotlight is on parties that center their rhetoric around issues of national identity and restricting the rights of newcomers.
In Catalonia, where debates about independence once dominated, priorities are shifting. The topic of secession from Spain is gradually losing relevance, giving way to discussions about migration and the preservation of cultural distinctiveness. According to the latest survey by the Center for Public Opinion Research, the parties Vox and Aliança Catalana have significantly increased their support among voters. Vox could secure 12 to 14 parliamentary seats, while Aliança Catalana is projected to win 10 to 11. These results highlight a growing interest in parties that advocate for strict measures against migrants.
In Murcia, similar trends are evident in the support for political forces focused on defending traditional values. Here too, parties proposing to limit foreigners’ rights and tighten control over their stay are gaining influence. Both regions demonstrate a common approach: an emphasis on preserving local identity and opposing the mass influx of new residents.
Significantly, the rise in popularity of these parties coincides with waning interest in Catalan independence. Currently, only 40% of the region’s residents support secession, while 52% are opposed. Despite this, the number of seats that pro-independence parties might secure remains high—between 62 and 68. However, these figures no longer carry their former weight, as the political landscape is changing and new coalitions are forming around issues of migration and identity.
Experts point out that unexpected alliances are possible between traditional right-wing parties and new radical movements. Together, such groups could secure between 64 and 70 seats in parliament, reflecting the ongoing shift of the political center to the right. Migration-related issues are becoming central to the formation of new parliamentary majorities.
Thus, Catalonia and Murcia are emerging as indicators of change in Spanish politics. Here, the shift from old conflicts to new challenges—migration and the defense of cultural identity—is particularly evident.
