Pablo Carreno Busta, ranked 65th in the world, will face Lithuania’s Vilius Gaubas, ranked 128th, in the Estoril Open’s round of 16 on Tuesday. The match is scheduled to start no earlier than 13:00. Both players arrive after a series of demanding encounters on the ATP circuit.
Over the previous 52 weeks, Carreno Busta recorded a 22-20 win-loss record, information from figures from the StatsNext ATP advanced-stats database. The database covers 41 matches with recorded advanced statistics. He won 63.3% of service points, landed 68.1% of first serves and won 69.1% of points behind his first serve.
Carreno Busta comes into the match after a mixed run. At the Croatia Open, he exited in the round of 16 after a three-set battle against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. He had beaten Matej Dodig before falling to Rafael Jodar in a five-set contest at Wimbledon. Earlier in the season, he reached the round of 16 at Roland Garros, where he again faced Jodar in a tightly contested match.
Vilius Gaubas has shown ability to recover in recent tournaments. His most recent victory came at the Swedish Open, where he beat Jesper de Jong in straight sets. In Braunschweig, Gaubas advanced past Nikoloz Basilashvili before losing to Facundo Acosta. At Wimbledon, he opened with a convincing win over Kyrian Jacquet after a hard-fought qualifying match against Dusan Lajovic.
The players have met before, most recently in the Tenerife quarterfinals in February 2025. Carreno Busta edged out Gaubas in a three-set duel, winning 2-1 (4-6, 6-3, 7-6). That result adds interest to their Estoril meeting, with both looking to advance further in the tournament.
Recent Spanish performances in international competitions have drawn attention as the country’s athletes continue to make headlines across sports. Spanish athletes showed the same intensity and unpredictability during the 14th stage of the Tour de Francia, where mountain stages and tactical shifts changed the race’s dynamics. More details are available in this report on Spanish moves in the Tour de Francia.
The Estoril Open remains a basic stop on the ATP calendar, attracting players from across Europe and beyond. A strong performance could help Carreno Busta regain momentum after a challenging season. Gaubas has a chance to build on recent successes and test himself against a higher-ranked opponent. The outcome may influence their rankings and set the tone for the rest of the summer circuit.
Estoril’s clay courts have historically favored players with patience and tactical awareness, qualities Carreno Busta and Gaubas have both shown in previous matches. As the draw narrows, each match carries greater significance for the players’ season ambitions.
