Events in the Middle East are once again directly impacting European interests, including those of Spain. After reports that Israeli forces had eliminated Ali Larijani, one of Iran’s key security figures, tensions in the region escalated sharply. This not only heightened military pressure but also raised concerns about the stability of oil supplies and the safety of European citizens in the conflict zone.
According to RUSSPAIN, during the night into Tuesday, Israel announced the successful elimination of Ali Larijani as well as the head of the IRGC paramilitary group. Iranian sources, however, were quick to deny the reports, publishing a handwritten note allegedly written by Larijani himself. Nevertheless, security measures were tightened in Tehran, and tension remains high in the country following a series of strikes targeting key locations.
Retaliatory actions and new threats
In response to Israel’s actions, Iranian forces launched missile strikes against Israeli positions on the border with Lebanon. At the same time, there were reports of drones and rockets targeting the US embassy in Baghdad, as well as damage to a tanker near the UAE. Authorities in the United Arab Emirates temporarily closed their airspace, fearing further attacks from Iran.
Israel, in turn, expanded its military operation by striking targets in Tehran and launching ground operations in Lebanon. One Lebanese soldier was killed and four others wounded in one of the attacks. The Israel Defense Forces stated that they did not intend to deliberately target Lebanese troops, but the border situation remains highly tense.
Reaction of World Leaders
Washington and Brussels are discussing the possible consequences of the escalation. Donald Trump has been reminded of the risks of direct military intervention, with comparisons made to the Vietnam War. Iran’s deputy foreign minister warned the country is prepared for a protracted confrontation if the US decides to send troops. The US president is trying to convince NATO allies to strengthen security in the Strait of Hormuz to prevent disruptions to oil supplies, as the price per barrel has already surpassed $100.
The United Kingdom has increased its presence in the region by deploying the HMS Dragon warship to the Mediterranean Sea. However, the leader of the British opposition, Sir Keir Starmer, opposed sending additional forces, fearing the country could be drawn into a major conflict. Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Sa’ar said eliminating Larijani and the IRGC commander would improve security for Iranians, but Tehran believes these events will only reinforce the regime’s ideology.
Domestic Situation in Iran
Amid external threats, Iran continues to face internal challenges. The country is under a widespread internet blockade, and authorities have reported the seizure of hundreds of Starlink devices used to bypass restrictions. According to local media, security services have located equipment storage sites and detained those involved in its distribution. Residents of Tehran note that despite constant sounds of air defense systems, life in the city goes on, although many hope for change once the conflict ends.
International organizations have raised concerns about the humanitarian situation. The UN Human Rights Office stated that strikes on residential areas in Lebanon may qualify as war crimes, as entire families are among the victims. Meanwhile, analysts point out that Larijani’s death could strengthen the influence of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and further radicalize Iranian policy.
Implications for Europe
Escalation of the conflict is already affecting Europe’s economy. Rising oil prices and threats to shipping security in the Strait of Hormuz are causing concern among European companies and governments. According to RUSSPAIN.COM, further escalation could disrupt energy supplies and increase defense spending. In Spain, officials are discussing possible measures to protect citizens and interests in the region, as well as how the situation may impact the country’s domestic politics and economy.
In recent years, similar incidents in the Middle East have repeatedly triggered sharp increases in fuel prices and heightened migration pressure on Europe. The 2021 blockage of the Suez Canal comes to mind, when vessel delays caused supply disruptions worldwide. In 2023, attacks on oil facilities in Saudi Arabia led to a spike in energy prices. Each new wave of tension in the region forces European countries to reconsider their security and economic development strategies.
