The situation in Aragón on the eve of the elections has become one of the most talked-about topics in Spanish politics. The outcome of the vote could shift the balance of power not only in the region, but also influence the national agenda. For many local residents, these elections are more than just another trip to the polls—they mark a decisive moment for who will govern their future and how. Center stage are the prospects for coalitions, unexpected alliances, and fears of political collapse.
Rising tensions
In the final days of the campaign, nervousness reigns in party headquarters. Expectations of an easy victory for the Partido Popular (PP) quickly gave way to anxiety: internal polls now indicate not only a lack of growth, but the possible loss of a seat. The reason is the rapid rise of Vox, which already demonstrated its strength in the recent Extremadura elections. The party is now ready to repeat its success in Aragón as well, narrowing the PP’s chances of forming a majority independently.
Plans to build a coalition with smaller parties such as Aragón Existe or PAR are no longer taken seriously. Everything points to the PP having to seek common ground with Vox. It is possible that Vox representatives will demand not only support but also a share in the government. This scenario concerns part of the electorate and could spark new political conflicts.
PSOE’s position
The situation within the Socialists (PSOE) is nearing a critical point. Intraparty concerns are mounting by the day, and the prospect of a historic defeat appears increasingly real. In some municipalities, Vox is expected to surpass PSOE, and in Zaragoza, a technical tie between the two parties is even possible.
The Socialist leader is trying to avert disaster, but the party’s negative image, linked to its time in office in Madrid, is hindering efforts to rally supporters. Criticism has begun to emerge within the regional branch of PSOE, highlighting errors in strategy and communication. The question of the party’s future in the region remains unresolved.
Decisive votes
The fate of the last seats in three provinces depends on hundreds of votes. These could be decisive in determining who gains a critical advantage in the new parliament. In such a scenario, any mistake or unexpected event could reshape the final outcome.
In the final hours of the campaign, parties are intensifying efforts to sway undecided voters. Debates are erupting in city streets and across social networks, while political leaders issue bold statements to draw attention to their agendas. Tensions are rising, and the uncertainty only heightens interest in the election results.
Possible scenarios
No scenario is off the table. If Vox achieves significant success, the party could not only join the government but also dictate the terms of a coalition. For the PP, this means having to make compromises that might not sit well with some of their voters. At the same time, a setback for the PSOE could lead to internal reshuffling and changes in leadership within the regional branch.
The future shape of Aragón’s political landscape remains uncertain until the very last moment. The election results could become a starting point for new alliances and unexpected decisions that will impact all of Spain.
In recent years, Spain has already experienced similar situations, where the unexpected rise of new political forces changed the established order. For example, in the elections in Castilla y León and Madrid, the emergence of strong contenders forced traditional parties to look for new forms of cooperation. In Extremadura, Vox’s success also came as a surprise to many analysts. These events show that the country’s political map is becoming increasingly unpredictable, and the outcome of even the most seemingly obvious elections can surprise all participants involved.
